Bohemians 1905 2-1 Banik Ostrava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.87 — our 29% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians 1905 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Banik Ostrava EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +12%
1.65/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.84
-19% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
34.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
34.4 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians 1905
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
2.01 xG 1.14
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
193 Passes 391
67% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 35
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 1-1 HT 1-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
16.09.2023 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 1-1 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
12.11.2022 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 4-1 HT 2-0 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
06.08.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 3-3 HT 3-1 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
26.02.2022 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 0-2 HT 0-0 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava ÇEK
25.09.2021 Banik Ostrava Banik Ostrava 4-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians 1905 Bohemians 1905 ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians 1905
2-1
AWAY Banik Ostrava
1.79 xG 1.25
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
239 Passes 301
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bohemians 1905 vs Banik Ostrava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians 1905 nicked a narrow win over Banik Ostrava 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Bohemians 1905 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bohemians 1905 had 46% of the ball to Banik Ostrava's 54%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.79 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Banik Ostrava led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Bohemians 1905 and 2.50 for Banik Ostrava.

What was the final score of Bohemians 1905 vs Banik Ostrava?

Bohemians 1905 2-1 Banik Ostrava in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians 1905 vs Banik Ostrava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians 1905 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 1905 37%, draw 26%, Banik Ostrava 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK More Czech Republic - Czech Liga
20 Jul 2024
15:30 Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav Analysis →
18:00 Ceske Budejovice vs Sigma Olomouc Analysis →
21:00 Dukla Prag vs Viktoria Plzen Analysis →