Jablonec 2-0 Mlada Boleslav — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - Czech Liga, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.45
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.81
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.7pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jablonec EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mlada Boleslav EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -8%
1.06/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.42
-24% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
Crosses 13.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jablonec
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 Jablonec Jablonec 1-1 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
23.07.2023 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 3-1 HT 1-0 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
12.11.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 1-2 HT 1-1 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
07.08.2022 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 2-2 HT 1-2 Jablonec Jablonec ÇEK
16.02.2022 Jablonec Jablonec 4-0 HT 1-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEKK
28.11.2021 Jablonec Jablonec 0-1 HT 0-0 Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav ÇEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jablonec
2-0
AWAY Mlada Boleslav
1.67 xG 0.52
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
332 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
25 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jablonec beat Mlada Boleslav 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jablonec as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jablonec had 54% of the ball to Mlada Boleslav's 46%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.67 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mlada Boleslav led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Jablonec and 1.50 for Mlada Boleslav.

What was the final score of Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?

Jablonec 2-0 Mlada Boleslav in the Czech Republic - Czech Liga on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jablonec vs Mlada Boleslav?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jablonec win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Jablonec 41%, draw 32%, Mlada Boleslav 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jablonec), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jablonec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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