Falkirk 2-2 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.95
Over 2.5
40%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.6
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
18%
3.41
6+ Goals
8%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 33% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.54
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.4
X/1
17%
4.56
X/2
12%
7.89
X/X
16%
5.05
2/1
7%
23.05
2/2
10%
5.9
2/X
7%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.8pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.62/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.23
-1% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 209 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
Crosses 20.4
Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dundee United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 12
3 Corners 10
13.07.2024 Falkirk Falkirk 2-0 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
17.11.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 4-2 HT 1-2 Dundee United Dundee United İKCK
25.07.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
27.04.2019 Dundee United Dundee United 2-0 HT 2-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
23.02.2019 Falkirk Falkirk 1-1 HT 0-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKCL
22.12.2018 Dundee United Dundee United 2-1 HT 1-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkirk
2-2
AWAY Dundee United
2.02 xG 1.19
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
323 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
31 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk and Dundee United shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Falkirk at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Falkirk had 52% of the ball to Dundee United's 48%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.02 to 1.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundee United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Falkirk and 1.33 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs Dundee United?

Falkirk 2-2 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 44%, draw 28%, Dundee United 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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