Dundee FC 1-2 Hibernian — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
9.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.04
1/2
7%
22.2
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
8%
8.44
X/2 EV+ ✗
22%
4.71
X/X
10%
5.29
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.44
2/X
9%
12.65
Value flag · X/2 at 4.71 — our 22% vs market 16.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+0.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
50%
Away Win
50%
-0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hibernian EU Bookmakers 55%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
1.21/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/0.96
+36% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +27%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.7 Crosses 22.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Hibernian
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.92 xG 1.55
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
260 Passes 282
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 33
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Hibernian Hibernian 4-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
23.11.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 4-1 HT 3-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
24.08.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 2-2 HT 1-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
24.02.2024 Hibernian Hibernian 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
25.11.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
30.09.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
1-2
AWAY Hibernian
0.13 xG 1.42
32% Ball Possession 68%
2 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 11
235 Passes 583
76% Pass Accuracy 88%
7 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Hibernian
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian edged past Dundee FC 2-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hibernian as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Dundee FC had 32% of the ball to Hibernian's 68%, shots finished 2-15, expected goals 0.13 to 1.42 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hibernian's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dundee FC and 1.83 for Hibernian.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Hibernian?

Dundee FC 1-2 Hibernian in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Hibernian?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 26%, draw 24%, Hibernian 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ BTTS Yes
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