Celtic 1-0 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
80%
1.18
Draw
11%
5.71
Away
9%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.99
2-3 Goals
38%
2.11
4-5 Goals
29%
2.62
6+ Goals
13%
5.84
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1.32
1/2
3%
35.0
1/X
3%
26.0
X/1
23%
3.83
X/2
3%
27.5
X/X
5%
9.96
2/1
10%
22.6
2/2
3%
23.5
2/X
3%
31.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
80%
Home Win
79%
+1.5pp
11%
Draw
14%
-2.3pp
8%
Away Win
8%
+0.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +19%
2.77/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.01
+19% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -1%
60% Ball Possession 40%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
502 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 67%
43.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
28.0 Crosses 15.5
0.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
5W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Mirren
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.73 xG 0.76
75% Ball Possession 25%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
599 Passes 145
88% Pass Accuracy 65%
42 Box Touches 14
26 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
17.05.2025 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
01.03.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-5 HT 1-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
05.01.2025 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
25.08.2024 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-3 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
18.05.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-2 HT 2-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
13.04.2024 Celtic Celtic 3-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
1-0
AWAY St. Mirren
1.40 xG 0.23
76% Ball Possession 24%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 1
661 Passes 143
89% Pass Accuracy 61%
41 Box Touches 10
35 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celtic vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic nicked a narrow win over St. Mirren 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Celtic had 76% of the ball to St. Mirren's 24%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.40 to 0.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Celtic and 0.83 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Celtic vs St. Mirren?

Celtic 1-0 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Celtic 80%, draw 11%, St. Mirren 8%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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