IK Sirius 1-1 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 3 Aug 2025

IK Sirius
1-1 HT 0-0
Östers
📅03/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2025

IK Sirius vs Östers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.2
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.94 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.22
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.9
X/1
14%
4.34
X/2
9%
9.22
X/X
8%
5.5
2/1
15%
21.7
2/2
7%
7.0
2/X
5%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
IK Sirius win — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
54%
+0.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v Östers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.80/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.67
+22% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -13%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
433 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
21.5 Crosses 21.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.3

IK Sirius vs Östers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Östers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.06.2025 Östers Östers 2-2 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
23.02.2025 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-3 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇK
17.02.2018 IK Sirius IK Sirius 1-1 HT 0-1 Östers Östers İSÇK
23.09.2014 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
23.05.2014 Östers Östers 2-2 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ2
09.09.2007 Östers Östers 1-2 HT 1-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ2

IK Sirius 1-1 Östers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
1-1
AWAY Östers
3.50 xG 1.84
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
515 Passes 234
92% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 32
29 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius and Östers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. IK Sirius carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, IK Sirius had 66% of the ball to Östers's 34%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 3.50 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for IK Sirius and 1.50 for Östers.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Östers?

IK Sirius 1-1 Östers in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Sirius win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 55%, draw 24%, Östers 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Sirius), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Sirius) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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