Thun 2-1 Lausanne Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 Aug 2025

Thun
2-1 HT 1-0
Lausanne Sports
📅03/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Switzerland - Super League – 2025/2026

Thun vs Lausanne Sports Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.1
Over 2.5
57%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
27%
3.11
6+ Goals
12%
9.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.1
1/2
6%
24.35
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
15%
6.39
X/2
11%
5.51
X/X
9%
5.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
2/2
23%
3.26
2/X
7%
12.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Thun v Lausanne Sports — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Thun EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -31%
1.67/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.70
+3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -43%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.1
22.9 Crosses 21.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Thun vs Lausanne Sports Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Thun
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 Passes 427
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
17 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.05.2023 Thun Thun 3-3 HT 1-2 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV2
19.03.2023 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-3 HT 0-1 Thun Thun İSV2
21.10.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 2-1 HT 2-0 Thun Thun İSV2
02.09.2022 Thun Thun 2-0 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV2
22.06.2019 Thun Thun 1-5 HT 0-3 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports HAZ
18.03.2018 Thun Thun 0-0 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV

Thun 2-1 Lausanne Sports — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Thun
2-1
AWAY Lausanne Sports
1.59 xG 1.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 3
179 Passes 233
67% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 35
23 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Thun vs Lausanne Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Thun edged past Lausanne Sports 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Thun made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Thun had 45% of the ball to Lausanne Sports's 55%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.59 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Thun and 1.83 for Lausanne Sports.

What was the final score of Thun vs Lausanne Sports?

Thun 2-1 Lausanne Sports in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Thun vs Lausanne Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Thun 37%, draw 23%, Lausanne Sports 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lausanne Sports) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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