Luzern 1-1 Zürich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.09
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.21
Over 2.5
64%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
25%
2.93
6+ Goals
16%
8.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.93
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
18%
5.3
X/2
7%
6.93
X/X
10%
5.44
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.6
2/2
14%
4.45
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.6 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
44%
+6.6pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.5pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.0pp
36%
Under 2.5
41%
-5.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
59%
+5.8pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
-0.6pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Zürich EU Bookmakers 34%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -8%
1.79/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.59
+5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
18.2 Crosses 18.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Zürich
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.66 xG 1.14
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
251 Passes 335
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Zürich Zürich 3-2 HT 2-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
26.01.2025 Luzern Luzern 3-1 HT 2-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
01.09.2024 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 0-1 Luzern Luzern İSV
18.02.2024 Luzern Luzern 0-1 HT 0-0 Zürich Zürich İSV
10.12.2023 Zürich Zürich 1-1 HT 0-0 Luzern Luzern İSV
01.10.2023 Luzern Luzern 1-4 HT 0-1 Zürich Zürich İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern
1-1
AWAY Zürich
1.14 xG 0.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
303 Passes 378
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
18 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Luzern vs Zürich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luzern and Zürich couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Luzern at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (61%) landed while over 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Luzern had 46% of the ball to Zürich's 54%, shots finished 14-5, expected goals 1.14 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zürich led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Luzern and 1.83 for Zürich.

What was the final score of Luzern vs Zürich?

Luzern 1-1 Zürich in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern vs Zürich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Luzern 50%, draw 20%, Zürich 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Luzern), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luzern) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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