Sion 4-0 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 3 Aug 2025

Sion
4-0 HT 2-0
Lugano
📅03/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.66
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.37
6+ Goals
12%
12.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.52
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
28.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
14%
5.6
X/2
11%
6.0
X/X
13%
4.85
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
16%
3.92
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.0 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.1pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sion EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 38%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.31/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.31
-5% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +4%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.4 Crosses 16.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sion
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lugano
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.96 xG 1.61
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
212 Passes 465
73% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2025 Sion Sion 2-1 HT 1-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
01.02.2025 Lugano Lugano 3-2 HT 1-1 Sion Sion İSV
22.09.2024 Sion Sion 0-0 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
27.04.2024 Sion Sion 0-2 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSVK
23.04.2023 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 0-0 Sion Sion İSV
05.03.2023 Sion Sion 1-1 HT 0-1 Lugano Lugano İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sion
4-0
AWAY Lugano
1.04 xG 2.18
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 4
223 Passes 525
74% Pass Accuracy 88%
17 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sion vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sion cruised past Lugano 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Sion found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sion had 34% of the ball to Lugano's 66%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 1.04 to 2.18 — on chances, Lugano could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sion and 1.50 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Sion vs Lugano?

Sion 4-0 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sion vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sion win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sion 40%, draw 26%, Lugano 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sion), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sion) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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