Grazer AK 2-2 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 3 Aug 2025

Grazer AK
2-2 HT 1-1
Austria Wien
📅03/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Grazer AK vs Austria Wien Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.97
Over 2.5
47%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.67
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
20%
3.37
6+ Goals
10%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.67 — our 26% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
6.07
1/2
8%
23.05
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
11%
8.12
X/2
16%
4.53
X/X
13%
5.09
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
23%
2.48
2/X
11%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.6pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Grazer AK v Austria Wien — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Grazer AK EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 54%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
1.09/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.15
+1% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +40%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.4
16.2 Crosses 20.2
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Grazer AK vs Austria Wien Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Grazer AK
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Austria Wien
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.78 xG 1.48
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
214 Passes 453
71% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 20
6 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2025 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-2 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
05.10.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 1-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
15.02.2019 Grazer AK Grazer AK 2-1 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AUK
25.11.2006 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-2 HT 2-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU
01.10.2006 Grazer AK Grazer AK 1-3 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
18.07.2006 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Grazer AK Grazer AK AVU

Grazer AK 2-2 Austria Wien — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Grazer AK
2-2
AWAY Austria Wien
0.94 xG 1.52
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
179 Passes 376
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 34
POST-MATCH Grazer AK vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grazer AK and Austria Wien shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Austria Wien at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Grazer AK had 37% of the ball to Austria Wien's 63%, shots finished 6-15, expected goals 0.94 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Austria Wien led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Grazer AK and 1.67 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Grazer AK vs Austria Wien?

Grazer AK 2-2 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Grazer AK vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Grazer AK 24%, draw 29%, Austria Wien 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austria Wien), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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