SonderjyskE 3-2 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.99
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
45%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
9.96
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 28% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.92
1/2
8%
22.6
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
10%
7.18
X/2
9%
4.97
X/X
10%
5.27
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
28%
2.78
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+4.3pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.4pp
45%
Away Win
45%
+0.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -27%
1.25/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.66
+20% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -37%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
280 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
13.8 Crosses 18.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.41 xG 2.46
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
323 Passes 508
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2025 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 HT 2-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
06.10.2024 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-4 HT 1-2 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
11.05.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
15.04.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
11.03.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
02.08.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
3-2
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.53 xG 1.37
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
241 Passes 561
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
13 Box Touches 43
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE edged past FC Nordsjaelland 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Nordsjaelland at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 32% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 68%, shots finished 5-17, expected goals 1.53 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for SonderjyskE and 2.17 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs FC Nordsjaelland?

SonderjyskE 3-2 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 34%, draw 21%, FC Nordsjaelland 45%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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