FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 SonderjyskE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 23 Feb 2025

📅23/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.97
2-3 Goals
36%
1.98
4-5 Goals
27%
2.8
6+ Goals
15%
7.39
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1.81
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
11%
4.15
X/2
6%
12.2
X/X
11%
6.75
2/1
6%
19.65
2/2
11%
9.24
2/X
5%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
63%
-6.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
2.17/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.11
+35% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -12%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
452 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
34.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
17.3 Crosses 15.8
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
4W-2D-0L
AWAY SonderjyskE
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.02 xG 1.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
501 Passes 324
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
34 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.10.2024 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-4 HT 1-2 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
11.05.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
15.04.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
11.03.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
02.08.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
21.03.2021 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 2-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Nordsjaelland
3-2
AWAY SonderjyskE
3.48 xG 1.38
52% Ball Possession 48%
21 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
416 Passes 345
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Nordsjaelland vs SonderjyskE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland edged past SonderjyskE 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, FC Nordsjaelland had 52% of the ball to SonderjyskE's 48%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 3.48 to 1.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Nordsjaelland's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for FC Nordsjaelland and 0.67 for SonderjyskE.

What was the final score of FC Nordsjaelland vs SonderjyskE?

FC Nordsjaelland 3-2 SonderjyskE in the Denmark - Süperlig on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Nordsjaelland vs SonderjyskE?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split FC Nordsjaelland 57%, draw 22%, SonderjyskE 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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