SonderjyskE 1-4 FC Nordsjaelland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
50%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.48
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.66
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.25
1/X
9%
15.05
X/1
8%
10.7
X/2
17%
4.07
X/X
10%
5.83
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.02
2/X
6%
14.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.25 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
20%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
50%
Away Win
57%
-7.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland EU Bookmakers 61%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.21/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.19
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +95%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.7
14.5 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
1W-2D-3L
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.46 xG 1.66
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
347 Passes 399
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2022 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
15.04.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-0 HT 1-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
11.03.2022 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 1-1 HT 0-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
02.08.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
21.03.2021 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland 2-1 HT 2-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
06.12.2020 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 2-1 HT 1-0 FC Nordsjaelland FC Nordsjaelland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
1-4
AWAY FC Nordsjaelland
1.28 xG 3.69
22% Ball Possession 78%
7 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 9
203 Passes 946
75% Pass Accuracy 95%
9 Box Touches 47
8 Crosses 25
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs FC Nordsjaelland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Nordsjaelland ran out comfortable winners over SonderjyskE 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Nordsjaelland as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 22% of the ball to FC Nordsjaelland's 78%, shots finished 7-23, expected goals 1.28 to 3.69.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Nordsjaelland led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for SonderjyskE and 1.50 for FC Nordsjaelland.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs FC Nordsjaelland?

SonderjyskE 1-4 FC Nordsjaelland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs FC Nordsjaelland?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Nordsjaelland win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 24%, draw 25%, FC Nordsjaelland 50%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Nordsjaelland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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