Viborg 1-1 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.44
6+ Goals
11%
13.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.42
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
12%
6.46
X/2
16%
5.11
X/X
14%
4.53
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
18%
3.18
2/X
6%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
41%
Away Win
41%
-0.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Viborg EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +19%
1.55/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/0.88
+4% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +81%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
15.8 Crosses 21.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Viborg
1W-2D-3L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.13 xG 1.25
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
346 Passes 356
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-0 HT 0-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
01.10.2023 Viborg Viborg 2-1 HT 1-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
12.07.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus HAZ
07.05.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 3-0 HT 1-0 Viborg Viborg DAN
09.04.2023 Viborg Viborg 0-1 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
06.11.2022 Viborg Viborg 1-1 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Viborg
1-1
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.57 xG 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
355 Passes 342
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Viborg vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Viborg and AGF Aarhus couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was AGF Aarhus at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Viborg had 50% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 50%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.57 to 1.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Viborg and 1.33 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of Viborg vs AGF Aarhus?

Viborg 1-1 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Viborg vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Viborg 32%, draw 27%, AGF Aarhus 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ BTTS Yes
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