Brondby 2-0 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.48
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.77
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
11%
4.84
X/2
13%
6.93
X/X
11%
5.53
2/1
11%
22.3
2/2
13%
4.54
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brondby EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.48/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.58
-9% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
25.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.1
19.4 Crosses 18.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brondby
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Midtjylland
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.78
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
359 Passes 330
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-2 HT 2-2 Brondby Brondby DAN
21.04.2024 Brondby Brondby 2-1 HT 2-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
18.02.2024 Brondby Brondby 1-0 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
20.08.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-1 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
27.02.2023 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-1 HT 0-0 Brondby Brondby DAN
29.08.2022 Brondby Brondby 0-2 HT 0-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brondby
2-0
AWAY Midtjylland
1.56 xG 1.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
396 Passes 380
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brondby vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brondby saw off Midtjylland 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Brondby as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Brondby had 52% of the ball to Midtjylland's 48%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.56 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brondby had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brondby and 1.00 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of Brondby vs Midtjylland?

Brondby 2-0 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brondby vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Brondby 42%, draw 26%, Midtjylland 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brondby) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brondby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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