Kopenhag 1-0 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 23 Feb 2025

Kopenhag
1-0 HT 0-0
Midtjylland
📅23/02/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - Süperlig – 2025/2026

Kopenhag vs Midtjylland Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.03
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.87
4-5 Goals
27%
3.18
6+ Goals
13%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.66
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
7%
12.15
X/1
20%
4.93
X/2
11%
7.76
X/X
11%
4.97
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.0
2/2
11%
5.43
2/X
7%
12.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.0 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
45%
-2.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
55%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.0pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kopenhag v Midtjylland — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.70/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.50
+32% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
15.3 Crosses 17.5
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Kopenhag vs Midtjylland Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kopenhag
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Midtjylland
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.84 xG 1.15
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
413 Passes 255
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
30 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.09.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-1 HT 0-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
16.05.2024 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-2 HT 0-2 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
14.04.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-2 HT 2-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
01.03.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 1-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
31.10.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-0 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAK
30.09.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 0-2 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
POST-MATCH Kopenhag vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kopenhag nicked a narrow win over Midtjylland 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kopenhag as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kopenhag and 1.67 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of Kopenhag vs Midtjylland?

Kopenhag 1-0 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 23/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kopenhag vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kopenhag 47%, draw 25%, Midtjylland 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kopenhag) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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