Midtjylland 2-2 Kopenhag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.84
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
1.95
Over 2.5
62%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.58
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
30%
3.35
6+ Goals
13%
12.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.48
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
13%
6.52
X/2
16%
4.99
X/X
8%
4.72
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
31.5
2/2
23%
3.07
2/X
8%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.2pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.3pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+4.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
48%
-9.1pp
62%
Over 2.5
52%
+9.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.1pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kopenhag EU Bookmakers 46%
+9% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.48
-8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 78%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
12.5 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Midtjylland
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Kopenhag
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.19 xG 1.63
46% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
308 Passes 392
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.03.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-0 HT 1-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
31.10.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-0 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAK
30.09.2023 Kopenhag Kopenhag 0-2 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
22.10.2022 Kopenhag Kopenhag 1-1 HT 1-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
18.09.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-1 HT 2-1 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
01.05.2022 Midtjylland Midtjylland 0-0 HT 0-0 Kopenhag Kopenhag DAN
POST-MATCH Midtjylland vs Kopenhag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Midtjylland and Kopenhag shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Kopenhag at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Midtjylland and 0.50 for Kopenhag.

What was the final score of Midtjylland vs Kopenhag?

Midtjylland 2-2 Kopenhag in the Denmark - Süperlig on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Midtjylland vs Kopenhag?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kopenhag win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Midtjylland 33%, draw 21%, Kopenhag 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kopenhag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kopenhag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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