Lyngby 1-1 Hvidovre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.78
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.78 — our 27% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.75
X/1
18%
4.07
X/2
12%
8.62
X/X
10%
5.46
2/1
10%
22.3
2/2
13%
6.39
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Hvidovre EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-35% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.5 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Hvidovre
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.09 xG 0.99
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
312 Passes 364
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 2-4 HT 2-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN
17.09.2023 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-1 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
15.07.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 1-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre HAZ
12.05.2022 Lyngby Lyngby 1-0 HT 0-0 Hvidovre Hvidovre DAN1
07.04.2022 Hvidovre Hvidovre 0-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN1
06.11.2021 Hvidovre Hvidovre 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
1-1
AWAY Hvidovre
2.69 xG 1.29
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
327 Passes 299
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
38 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs Hvidovre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyngby and Hvidovre couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lyngby at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lyngby had 52% of the ball to Hvidovre's 48%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.69 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyngby had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Lyngby and 0.83 for Hvidovre.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs Hvidovre?

Lyngby 1-1 Hvidovre in the Denmark - Süperlig on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs Hvidovre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 46%, draw 24%, Hvidovre 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lyngby), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyngby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN More Denmark - Süperlig
14 Apr 2024
15:00 Vejle vs Randers FC Analysis →
17:00 AGF Aarhus vs Brondby Analysis →
19:00 Midtjylland vs Kopenhag Analysis →