Jalapa 1-0 Export Sebaco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nikaragua - Premier League, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.6
No
45%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jalapa EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Export Sebaco EU Bookmakers 36%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
1.19/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.71
-21% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
337 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jalapa
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Export Sebaco
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 0-0 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
26.08.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 2-1 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
17.03.2024 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 1-1 HT 1-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
21.01.2024 Jalapa Jalapa 1-2 HT 0-0 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
29.11.2023 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco 3-0 HT 0-0 Jalapa Jalapa NİK
27.09.2023 Jalapa Jalapa 1-1 HT 0-1 Export Sebaco Export Sebaco NİK
POST-MATCH Jalapa vs Export Sebaco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jalapa edged past Export Sebaco 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Jalapa made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Export Sebaco led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jalapa and 1.50 for Export Sebaco.

What was the final score of Jalapa vs Export Sebaco?

Jalapa 1-0 Export Sebaco in the Nikaragua - Premier League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jalapa vs Export Sebaco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jalapa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Jalapa 40%, draw 27%, Export Sebaco 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jalapa) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Jalapa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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