Legia Varşova 0-0 Arka Gdynia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
16%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.77
6+ Goals
13%
7.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.82
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
25%
4.09
X/2
5%
12.2
X/X
8%
6.54
2/1
8%
20.25
2/2
8%
9.48
2/X
6%
17.8
Value flag · X/1 at 4.09 — our 25% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+0.8pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.7pp
16%
Away Win
16%
-0.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
2.27/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.79
+18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +0%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
420 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 74%
31.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.6 Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Arka Gdynia
5.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
29 Total Shots 2
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
492 Passes 295
10.06.2020 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 5-1 HT 1-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
0-0
AWAY Arka Gdynia
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Arka Gdynia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova and Arka Gdynia played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Legia Varşova at 64% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 57% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 43%, shots finished 20-7.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Arka Gdynia?

Legia Varşova 0-0 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Arka Gdynia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 64%, draw 20%, Arka Gdynia 16%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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