Cracovia Krakow 2-2 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 3 Aug 2025

Cracovia Krakow
2-2 HT 1-1
Lechia Gdansk
📅03/08/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Cracovia Krakow vs Lechia Gdansk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.33
Over 2.5
52%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.89
4-5 Goals
26%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
7.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.39
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.05
X/1
11%
4.74
X/2
7%
8.32
X/X
11%
5.94
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.3
2/2
13%
5.66
2/X
9%
13.95
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.3 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
39%
+8.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
61%
-8.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.1pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cracovia Krakow v Lechia Gdansk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.46/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.80
+17% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
23.3 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Cracovia Krakow vs Lechia Gdansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 0.93
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
299 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.05.2025 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-2 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
03.11.2024 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-2 HT 0-2 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
22.04.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-2 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
08.10.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-1 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
11.02.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
14.08.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 3-0 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL

Cracovia Krakow 2-2 Lechia Gdansk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
2-2
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
2.99 xG 0.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
336 Passes 249
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
32 Box Touches 26
30 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow and Lechia Gdansk shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cracovia Krakow at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 56% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 44%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 2.99 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 1.33 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Lechia Gdansk?

Cracovia Krakow 2-2 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 48%, draw 27%, Lechia Gdansk 24%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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