Cracovia Krakow 0-2 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 4 May 2025

📅04/05/2025 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
2.99
6+ Goals
13%
9.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.68
1/2
6%
26.0
1/X
6%
12.7
X/1
14%
5.93
X/2
11%
5.94
X/X
12%
5.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.0
2/2
18%
3.69
2/X
7%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.0 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.4pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.41/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.76
+15% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 79%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.1 Crosses 22.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.46 xG 0.93
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
286 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.11.2024 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-2 HT 0-2 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
22.04.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-2 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
08.10.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-1 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
11.02.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
14.08.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 3-0 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
08.05.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
0-2
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
0.73 xG 1.29
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
357 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lechia Gdansk saw off Cracovia Krakow 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Cracovia Krakow at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 56% of the ball to Lechia Gdansk's 44%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.73 to 1.29.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 1.17 for Lechia Gdansk.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Lechia Gdansk?

Cracovia Krakow 0-2 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 41%, draw 25%, Lechia Gdansk 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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