Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jagiellonia Bialystok v Gornik Zabrze — Team-Based Signals
Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Gornik Zabrze Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 3-1
Gornik Zabrze
POL
2-1
HT 2-1
Gornik Zabrze
POL
1-1
HT 0-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
1-2
HT 1-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Gornik Zabrze — Actual Match Statistics
Jagiellonia Bialystok and Gornik Zabrze shared the points in a 1-1 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Jagiellonia Bialystok at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 51% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 49%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 2.80 to 0.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jagiellonia Bialystok had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 1.00 for Gornik Zabrze.
What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Gornik Zabrze?
Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 04/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Gornik Zabrze?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 42%, draw 25%, Gornik Zabrze 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5 went the other way.