Lechia Gdansk 1-2 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 3 Nov 2024

Lechia Gdansk
1-2 HT 0-2
Cracovia Krakow
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Lechia Gdansk vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.61
1/2
8%
24.0
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
10%
6.82
X/2
15%
4.92
X/X
9%
4.95
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
20%
2.92
2/X
9%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lechia Gdansk v Cracovia Krakow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -21%
1.53/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.06
-4% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
19.8 Crosses 20.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Lechia Gdansk vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
296 Passes 299
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.04.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-2 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
08.10.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-1 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
11.02.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-0 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
14.08.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 3-0 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
08.05.2021 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 1-1 HT 0-1 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
19.12.2020 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-3 HT 0-1 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL

Lechia Gdansk 1-2 Cracovia Krakow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1-2
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.49 xG 1.95
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 4
376 Passes 284
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 14
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lechia Gdansk vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow edged past Lechia Gdansk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Cracovia Krakow as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 56% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 44%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.49 to 1.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cracovia Krakow's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lechia Gdansk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 0.83 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Cracovia Krakow?

Lechia Gdansk 1-2 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 29%, draw 27%, Cracovia Krakow 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cracovia Krakow), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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