Legia Varşova 2-1 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
27%
3.07
6+ Goals
11%
9.73
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.85
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.7
X/1
20%
3.73
X/2
7%
12.2
X/X
10%
6.08
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
10%
9.39
2/X
6%
17.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.2pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
2.02/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.89
+22% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
403 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
23.1 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Legia Varşova
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.60 xG 0.94
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
430 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 18
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.03.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-0 HT 0-0 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
03.09.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-1 HT 1-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
24.02.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-2 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
12.08.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 0-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
25.11.2020 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-1 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POLK
14.04.2012 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Legia Varşova
2-1
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.11 xG 1.88
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
407 Passes 328
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 13
27 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Legia Varşova vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Legia Varşova edged past Widzew Lodz 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Legia Varşova as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Legia Varşova had 55% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 45%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.11 to 1.88 — the balance of chances actually favoured Widzew Lodz.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Legia Varşova and 1.00 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Legia Varşova vs Widzew Lodz?

Legia Varşova 2-1 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Legia Varşova vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Legia Varşova 54%, draw 23%, Widzew Lodz 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Legia Varşova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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