Widzew Lodz 1-0 Legia Varşova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 10 Mar 2024

Widzew Lodz
1-0 HT 0-0
Legia Varşova
📅10/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Widzew Lodz vs Legia Varşova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.25
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
11%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.37
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.0
X/1
11%
7.21
X/2
15%
4.46
X/X
11%
4.66
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.74
2/X
8%
13.5
Value flag · 1/X at 14.0 — our 10% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+3.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
41%
Away Win
47%
-5.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Widzew Lodz v Legia Varşova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Legia Varşova EU Bookmakers 50%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.28/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.20
+16% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 79%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
20.2 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Widzew Lodz vs Legia Varşova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.11 xG 1.89
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
282 Passes 438
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.09.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-1 HT 1-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
24.02.2023 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 2-2 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
12.08.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-2 HT 0-2 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
25.11.2020 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-1 HT 0-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POLK
14.04.2012 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 1-1 HT 1-1 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova POL
26.10.2011 Legia Varşova Legia Varşova 3-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POLK

Widzew Lodz 1-0 Legia Varşova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
1-0
AWAY Legia Varşova
0.44 xG 0.76
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 8
345 Passes 405
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Legia Varşova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Widzew Lodz nicked a narrow win over Legia Varşova 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Legia Varşova at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 46% of the ball to Legia Varşova's 54%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.44 to 0.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Legia Varşova led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Widzew Lodz and 2.00 for Legia Varşova.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Legia Varşova?

Widzew Lodz 1-0 Legia Varşova in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Legia Varşova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Legia Varşova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 30%, draw 29%, Legia Varşova 41%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Legia Varşova) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Legia Varşova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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