Stal Mielec 3-1 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 10 Mar 2024

📅10/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.67
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.4
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.27
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.78
X/2
8%
6.29
X/X
11%
3.98
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
15%
4.82
2/X
9%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.6pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 33%
+18% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.59/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.32
+14% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 69%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
22.7 Crosses 24.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 1.66
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 10
345 Passes 263
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
14 Box Touches 24
9 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 0
01.09.2023 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-1 HT 1-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
3-1
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
2.31 xG 0.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
308 Passes 306
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec beat Ruch Chorzow 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stal Mielec as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 49% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 51%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 2.31 to 0.92.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzow?

Stal Mielec 3-1 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 10/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 42%, draw 26%, Ruch Chorzow 32%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Mielec) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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