Radomiak Radom 3-1 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.9
No
49%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
23%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
20.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.56
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
7%
14.85
X/1
9%
6.95
X/2
15%
4.54
X/X
10%
4.29
2/1
8%
35.0
2/2
22%
2.91
2/X
10%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
-0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
46%
Away Win
46%
+0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 49%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.39/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.96
+1% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +25%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
21.2 Crosses 20.4
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.75 xG 1.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
244 Passes 330
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 HT 0-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
05.10.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-2 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
05.04.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-1 HT 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
01.10.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
10.04.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
17.09.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
3-1
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
2.39 xG 0.84
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
178 Passes 338
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 40
7 Crosses 37
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radomiak Radom beat Rakow Czestochowa 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rakow Czestochowa at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 36% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 64%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 2.39 to 0.84.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.83 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Radomiak Radom 3-1 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 27%, draw 27%, Rakow Czestochowa 46%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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