Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 Radomiak Radom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.19
No
52%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.83
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.79
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
6%
19.25
X/1
15%
3.68
X/2
5%
14.25
X/X
13%
5.42
2/1
9%
27.0
2/2
11%
13.4
2/X
6%
22.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
65%
-12.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
58%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -14%
1.80/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.86
-8% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
20.4 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.26 xG 0.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 250
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.10.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-2 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
05.04.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-1 HT 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
01.10.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
10.04.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
17.09.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
12.02.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
2-1
AWAY Radomiak Radom
1.30 xG 1.08
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
376 Passes 236
86% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 15
29 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Radomiak Radom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa nicked a narrow win over Radomiak Radom 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 59% of the ball to Radomiak Radom's 41%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 1.30 to 1.08.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 0.33 for Radomiak Radom.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Radomiak Radom?

Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 Radomiak Radom in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Radomiak Radom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 52%, draw 25%, Radomiak Radom 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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