Radomiak Radom 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 5 Oct 2024

Radomiak Radom
0-2 HT 0-1
Rakow Czestochowa
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Radomiak Radom vs Rakow Czestochowa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 33% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.64
1/2
12%
27.0
1/X
5%
14.3
X/1
10%
7.22
X/2
19%
4.35
X/X
13%
4.33
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
12%
2.77
2/X
8%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Radomiak Radom v Rakow Czestochowa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radomiak Radom EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 50%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.43/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.98
-7% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.2
19.3 Crosses 20.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4

Radomiak Radom vs Rakow Czestochowa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radomiak Radom
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.89 xG 1.38
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
235 Passes 306
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.04.2024 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 2-1 HT 2-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
01.10.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
10.04.2023 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
17.09.2022 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-0 HT 1-0 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL
12.02.2022 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom 0-1 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
29.09.2021 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-2 HT 1-1 Radomiak Radom Radomiak Radom POL

Radomiak Radom 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radomiak Radom
0-2
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.54 xG 1.84
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
303 Passes 322
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 28
25 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Radomiak Radom vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa beat Radomiak Radom 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Radomiak Radom had 49% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 51%, shots finished 9-21, expected goals 0.54 to 1.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Radomiak Radom and 1.67 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Radomiak Radom vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Radomiak Radom 0-2 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radomiak Radom vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Radomiak Radom 31%, draw 27%, Rakow Czestochowa 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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