Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 5 Oct 2024

Gornik Zabrze
0-1 HT 0-1
Zaglebie Lubin
📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.48
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.42
6+ Goals
8%
12.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 29% vs market 23.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
22%
4.7
X/2
10%
7.04
X/X
13%
4.7
2/1
10%
24.85
2/2
10%
5.02
2/X
7%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+1.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.8pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gornik Zabrze v Zaglebie Lubin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 32%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.64/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.68
+18% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 73%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.1 Crosses 17.7
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 1.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
383 Passes 318
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.04.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
02.10.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-2 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
14.04.2023 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
01.10.2022 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 2-3 HT 1-2 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
22.04.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 2-4 HT 1-2 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
30.10.2021 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 0-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL

Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
0-1
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.35 xG 0.99
70% Ball Possession 30%
27 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
17 Corners 5
541 Passes 197
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
44 Box Touches 23
36 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin nicked a narrow win over Gornik Zabrze 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Gornik Zabrze at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 70% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 30%, shots finished 27-15, expected goals 1.35 to 0.99.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 1.33 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Gornik Zabrze 0-1 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 47%, draw 27%, Zaglebie Lubin 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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