Lech Poznan vs Motor Lublin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lech Poznan v Motor Lublin — Team-Based Signals
Lech Poznan 1-2 Motor Lublin — Actual Match Statistics
Motor Lublin squeezed past Lech Poznan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Lech Poznan at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Lech Poznan had 73% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 27%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 1.96 to 1.29 — on chances, Lech Poznan could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Motor Lublin?
Lech Poznan 1-2 Motor Lublin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Motor Lublin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 53%, draw 22%, Motor Lublin 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lech Poznan), BTTS No went the other way.