CFR Cluj 2-3 Universitatea Craiova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.82
No
44%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
46%
-1.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CFR Cluj EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.23/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.06
+1% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -5%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
234 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
17.8 Crosses 20.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CFR Cluj
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.34 xG 0.79
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
205 Passes 429
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 2-2 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
07.04.2025 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 2-0 HT 2-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
03.04.2025 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROK
01.12.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-2 HT 0-1 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
28.07.2024 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj 0-2 HT 0-0 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova ROM
25.04.2024 Universitatea Craiova Universitatea Craiova 0-1 HT 0-0 CFR Cluj CFR Cluj ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CFR Cluj
2-3
AWAY Universitatea Craiova
1.78 xG 0.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
24 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
361 Passes 306
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
37 Box Touches 9
34 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Universitatea Craiova squeezed past CFR Cluj 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was CFR Cluj at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, CFR Cluj had 54% of the ball to Universitatea Craiova's 46%, shots finished 24-7, expected goals 1.78 to 0.51 — the balance of chances actually favoured CFR Cluj.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CFR Cluj had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CFR Cluj and 0.83 for Universitatea Craiova.

What was the final score of CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova?

CFR Cluj 2-3 Universitatea Craiova in the Romania - 1st Division on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CFR Cluj vs Universitatea Craiova?

Before kick-off our model rated a CFR Cluj win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split CFR Cluj 44%, draw 27%, Universitatea Craiova 29%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (CFR Cluj), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CFR Cluj) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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ROM More Romania - 1st Division
3 Aug 2025
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