Fakel 1-0 Sokol Saratov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.49
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.6
No
52%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
63%
+1.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.4pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
34%
+13.9pp
52%
BTTS No
66%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fakel EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Sokol Saratov EU Bookmakers 16%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -6%
1.35/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.92
-18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -51% / -13%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
352 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fakel
1-0
AWAY Sokol Saratov
67% Ball Possession 33%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Fakel vs Sokol Saratov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fakel nicked a narrow win over Sokol Saratov 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fakel as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fakel had 67% of the ball to Sokol Saratov's 33%, shots finished 12-3.

What was the final score of Fakel vs Sokol Saratov?

Fakel 1-0 Sokol Saratov in the Russia - FNL on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fakel vs Sokol Saratov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fakel win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Fakel 64%, draw 20%, Sokol Saratov 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fakel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fakel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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