Chernomorets vs Arsenal Tula Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chernomorets v Arsenal Tula — Team-Based Signals
Chernomorets vs Arsenal Tula Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Arsenal Tula
RUS1
Chernomorets 1-2 Arsenal Tula — Actual Match Statistics
Arsenal Tula edged past Chernomorets 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Arsenal Tula found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chernomorets had 47% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 53%, shots finished 10-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chernomorets and 1.00 for Arsenal Tula.
What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Arsenal Tula?
Chernomorets 1-2 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Arsenal Tula?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 40%, draw 27%, Arsenal Tula 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.