Chernomorets 0-0 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 7 Mar 2025

📅07/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.04
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.8pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.40/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.98
+10% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +22%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
Crosses 6.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chernomorets
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.07.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 0-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
03.03.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 2-0 HT 0-0 Chernomorets Chernomorets RUS1
12.08.2023 Chernomorets Chernomorets 2-1 HT 1-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chernomorets
0-0
AWAY Arsenal Tula
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chernomorets vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chernomorets and Arsenal Tula played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Chernomorets at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Chernomorets had 48% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 52%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chernomorets and 1.33 for Arsenal Tula.

What was the final score of Chernomorets vs Arsenal Tula?

Chernomorets 0-0 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 07/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chernomorets vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chernomorets win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chernomorets 50%, draw 25%, Arsenal Tula 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chernomorets) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chernomorets) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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