Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Neftekhimik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Kostroma EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Kostroma
1-1
AWAY Neftekhimik
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Spartak Kostroma vs Neftekhimik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Kostroma and Neftekhimik couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spartak Kostroma had 36% of the ball to Neftekhimik's 64%, shots finished 7-4.

What was the final score of Spartak Kostroma vs Neftekhimik?

Spartak Kostroma 1-1 Neftekhimik in the Russia - FNL on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Kostroma vs Neftekhimik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Kostroma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Spartak Kostroma 39%, draw 26%, Neftekhimik 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spartak Kostroma), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Kostroma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
3 Aug 2025
10:30 SKA Khabarovsk vs Torpedo Moscow Analysis →
19:00 Fakel vs Sokol Saratov Analysis →
19:00 Chernomorets vs Arsenal Tula Analysis →