Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 3 Aug 2025

📅03/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.17/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.17
-11% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.67 xG 0.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
117 Passes 175
53% Pass Accuracy 62%
16 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2025 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-0 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers CSA
03.02.2025 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
07.09.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
20.07.2024 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
24.02.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
25.10.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-2 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1-0
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
3 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo squeezed past Montevideo Wanderers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Racing Club Montevideo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 53% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 47%, shots finished 12-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 0.50 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Racing Club Montevideo 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 03/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club Montevideo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 43%, draw 29%, Montevideo Wanderers 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club Montevideo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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