Hayes & Yeading 1-3 Margate — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.53
No
40%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
61%
-1.0pp
40%
BTTS No
39%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hayes & Yeading EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Margate EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -38% / -38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
266 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hayes & Yeading
1-3
AWAY Margate
54% Ball Possession 46%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hayes & Yeading vs Margate
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Margate saw off Hayes & Yeading 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Hayes & Yeading at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Hayes & Yeading had 54% of the ball to Margate's 46%, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of Hayes & Yeading vs Margate?

Hayes & Yeading 1-3 Margate in the England - FA Cup on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hayes & Yeading vs Margate?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hayes & Yeading win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hayes & Yeading 41%, draw 24%, Margate 35%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hayes & Yeading) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hayes & Yeading) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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