Estudiantes De Merida 4-0 Metropolitanos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.5pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.6pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes De Merida EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Metropolitanos EU Bookmakers 32%
+12% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.78/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.37
+38% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 73%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.7 Crosses 17.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Metropolitanos
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.09 xG 0.88
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
324 Passes 269
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 35
20 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2024 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 1-1 HT 0-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
30.07.2023 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 0-1 HT 0-1 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
14.04.2023 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 0-2 HT 0-0 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
13.08.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 2-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida VEN
11.04.2022 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida 3-1 HT 1-1 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos VEN
16.03.2022 Metropolitanos Metropolitanos 4-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes De Merida Estudiantes De Merida CON CSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes De Merida
4-0
AWAY Metropolitanos
1.85 xG 0.38
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
171 Passes 141
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estudiantes De Merida vs Metropolitanos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes De Merida cruised past Metropolitanos 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and on the day Estudiantes De Merida made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Estudiantes De Merida had 56% of the ball to Metropolitanos's 44%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 1.85 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Metropolitanos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Estudiantes De Merida and 1.67 for Metropolitanos.

What was the final score of Estudiantes De Merida vs Metropolitanos?

Estudiantes De Merida 4-0 Metropolitanos in the Venezuela - Premier League on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes De Merida vs Metropolitanos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes De Merida win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes De Merida 40%, draw 27%, Metropolitanos 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes De Merida) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
VEN More Venezuela - Premier League
3 Sep 2024
03:30 Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV Analysis →