Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 3 Sep 2024

📅03/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
21%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.5pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.7pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.37/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/0.89
+0% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +21%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
19.1 Crosses 15.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
1W-4D-1L
AWAY UCV
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.80 xG 0.78
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
333 Passes 255
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.07.2024 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VENK
26.05.2024 UCV UCV 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
27.04.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 UCV UCV VEN
16.03.2024 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
30.09.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
11.02.2023 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Guaira
2-0
AWAY UCV
1.13 xG 0.93
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 9
201 Passes 246
71% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira beat UCV 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 32%) promised a tight game; Deportivo La Guaira found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo La Guaira had 45% of the ball to UCV's 55%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 1.13 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.67 for UCV.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

Deportivo La Guaira 2-0 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 03/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Guaira vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Guaira win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Guaira 37%, draw 30%, UCV 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Guaira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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