UCV 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
27%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
40%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.3pp
27%
Away Win
31%
-3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.0pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -67%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.78 xG 0.80
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
255 Passes 333
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.05.2024 UCV UCV 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
27.04.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 UCV UCV VEN
16.03.2024 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
30.09.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
11.02.2023 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
12.09.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
0-0
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV and Deportivo La Guaira played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was UCV at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UCV had 40% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 60%, shots finished 7-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UCV and 0.67 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?

UCV 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira in the VENK on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split UCV 43%, draw 30%, Deportivo La Guaira 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UCV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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