Angostura FC 1-2 Monagas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 12 Jul 2024

📅12/07/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Angostura FC EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Monagas EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Angostura FC
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Monagas
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.36 xG 1.90
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
264 Passes 324
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2024 Monagas Monagas 4-2 HT 2-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
16.09.2023 Angostura FC Angostura FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
25.02.2023 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 Angostura FC Angostura FC VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Angostura FC
1-2
AWAY Monagas
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Angostura FC vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas nicked a narrow win over Angostura FC 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Angostura FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Angostura FC had 59% of the ball to Monagas's 41%, shots finished 12-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Monagas led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Angostura FC and 1.67 for Monagas.

What was the final score of Angostura FC vs Monagas?

Angostura FC 1-2 Monagas in the VENK on 12/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Angostura FC vs Monagas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Angostura FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Angostura FC 42%, draw 26%, Monagas 32%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Angostura FC) ✗ Under 2.5
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