UCV 0-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 26 May 2024

UCV
0-2 HT 0-1
Deportivo La Guaira
📅26/05/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Venezuela - Premier League – 2024

UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
12%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.0pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.1pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.7pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

UCV v Deportivo La Guaira — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
1.35/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.17
-7% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
23.3 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.87 xG 0.54
44% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
240 Passes 348
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
27.04.2024 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-2 HT 0-1 UCV UCV VEN
16.03.2024 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
30.09.2023 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
11.02.2023 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN
12.09.2022 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
13.03.2022 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Guaira Deportivo La Guaira VEN

UCV 0-2 Deportivo La Guaira — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
0-2
AWAY Deportivo La Guaira
0.42 xG 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
315 Passes 273
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Guaira beat UCV 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 36% / 26%) promised a tight game; Deportivo La Guaira found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, UCV had 54% of the ball to Deportivo La Guaira's 46%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.42 to 1.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for UCV and 0.33 for Deportivo La Guaira.

What was the final score of UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?

UCV 0-2 Deportivo La Guaira in the Venezuela - Premier League on 26/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Deportivo La Guaira?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCV win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split UCV 38%, draw 36%, Deportivo La Guaira 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (UCV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UCV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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