Sutton United 3-4 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 3 Sep 2025

📅03/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.47
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
3.08
6+ Goals
8%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 33% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.02
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
9%
12.6
X/1
15%
6.11
X/2
12%
5.44
X/X
10%
4.82
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
17%
3.35
2/X
7%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutton United EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -14%
1.38/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.94
+1% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
146 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 188 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutton United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Boreham Wood
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.04.2021 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 0-0 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
13.02.2021 Sutton United Sutton United 2-0 HT 1-0 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
17.08.2019 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 0-1 HT 0-0 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
06.04.2019 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 1-2 HT 1-1 Sutton United Sutton United İBSL
18.09.2018 Sutton United Sutton United 0-4 HT 0-3 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
06.05.2018 Sutton United Sutton United 2-3 HT 0-1 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutton United
3-4
AWAY Boreham Wood
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sutton United vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood squeezed past Sutton United 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Boreham Wood found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sutton United had 38% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 62%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sutton United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sutton United and 1.33 for Boreham Wood.

What was the final score of Sutton United vs Boreham Wood?

Sutton United 3-4 Boreham Wood in the England - National League on 03/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutton United vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sutton United 37%, draw 26%, Boreham Wood 37%. The final score 3-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5
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