Truro City 2-2 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 3 Sep 2025

📅03/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.21
Over 2.5
44%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.22
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
2.74
6+ Goals
8%
7.73
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.22 — our 29% vs market 17.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.88
1/2
7%
23.2
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
18%
6.28
X/2
14%
5.59
X/X
10%
5.34
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
16%
3.23
2/X
6%
12.15
Value flag · X/1 at 6.28 — our 18% vs market 11.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
38%
Away Win
39%
-1.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
41%
+14.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
59%
-14.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.2pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Truro City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -18%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
147 · 92% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 175 · 93%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Truro City
2-2
AWAY Aldershot Town
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Truro City vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Truro City and Aldershot Town shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Truro City had 61% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 39%, shots finished 12-6.

What was the final score of Truro City vs Aldershot Town?

Truro City 2-2 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 03/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Truro City vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Truro City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Truro City 38%, draw 24%, Aldershot Town 38%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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