Brackley Town 0-1 Carlisle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 3 Sep 2025

📅03/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.17
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.29
6+ Goals
8%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 32% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.88
1/2
8%
24.5
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
10%
6.79
X/2
18%
4.85
X/X
9%
4.71
2/1
7%
32.5
2/2
20%
2.92
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
46%
Away Win
44%
+2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brackley Town EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +41% / +41%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
147 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 89%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brackley Town
0-1
AWAY Carlisle United
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Brackley Town vs Carlisle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlisle United squeezed past Brackley Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carlisle United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Brackley Town had 52% of the ball to Carlisle United's 48%, shots finished 6-11.

What was the final score of Brackley Town vs Carlisle United?

Brackley Town 0-1 Carlisle United in the England - National League on 03/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brackley Town vs Carlisle United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Brackley Town 29%, draw 25%, Carlisle United 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carlisle United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Carlisle United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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