Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Augsburg v Greuther Fürth — Team-Based Signals
Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Greuther Fürth
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Augsburg
AL1
3-1
HT 1-0
Greuther Fürth
AL1
1-1
HT 0-1
Augsburg
AL1
0-0
HT 0-0
Greuther Fürth
AL2
Greuther Fürth edged past Augsburg 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Augsburg at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Augsburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Augsburg and 0.67 for Greuther Fürth.
What was the final score of Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth?
Augsburg 1-2 Greuther Fürth in the Friendlies on 03/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Augsburg vs Greuther Fürth?
Before kick-off our model rated a Augsburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Augsburg 47%, draw 23%, Greuther Fürth 30%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Augsburg) went the other way.