Volga Ulyanovsk 1-1 Chernomorets — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 Sep 2025

📅03/09/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chernomorets EU Bookmakers 32%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
0.55/2.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.26
-52% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk
1-1
AWAY Chernomorets
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chernomorets
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volga Ulyanovsk and Chernomorets couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Volga Ulyanovsk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Volga Ulyanovsk had 50% of the ball to Chernomorets's 50%, shots finished 13-11.

What was the final score of Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chernomorets?

Volga Ulyanovsk 1-1 Chernomorets in the Russia - FNL on 03/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chernomorets?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volga Ulyanovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Volga Ulyanovsk 41%, draw 29%, Chernomorets 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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