Arsenal Tula 3-1 SKA Khabarovsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 3 Sep 2025

📅03/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+3.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.6pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +9%
1.40/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.52
+2% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -18%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
4W-1D-1L
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
390 Passes 340
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
16 Box Touches 10
12 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
31.08.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 0-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
14.04.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 1-0 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
14.10.2023 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
17.07.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 3-2 HT 2-2 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk RUS1
05.11.2017 SKA Khabarovsk SKA Khabarovsk 1-2 HT 1-1 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
3-1
AWAY SKA Khabarovsk
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 1
14 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arsenal Tula got the better of SKA Khabarovsk 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Arsenal Tula as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 63% of the ball to SKA Khabarovsk's 37%, shots finished 15-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arsenal Tula had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Arsenal Tula and 0.83 for SKA Khabarovsk.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Arsenal Tula 3-1 SKA Khabarovsk in the Russia - FNL on 03/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs SKA Khabarovsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arsenal Tula win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 53%, draw 24%, SKA Khabarovsk 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arsenal Tula) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arsenal Tula) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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